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Level 4 · Breach scenarios10 breach scenarios6 reached by a sequence

Breach scenarios.The incidents they lead to.

The 10 breach scenarios the taxonomy measures toward, each anchored to a Verizon DBIR, VERIS or FBI IC3 category. Red lines are the sequences that end in each one; grey lines are the cohorts that predict it.

  1. HB-01DBIR pattern: Social Engineering · VERIS: Social

    Phishing & social engineering

    No sequence ends here; 6 cohorts predict it.

    Sequences
    0
    Cohorts
    6
    Signals
    42
  2. HB-02DBIR: Basic Web Application Attacks · VERIS: Hacking

    Credential abuse & account takeover

    Sequences Phish to takeover, Leak to login, MFA fatigue, Help-desk takeover

    Sequences
    4
    Cohorts
    7
    Signals
    46
  3. HB-03DBIR: System Intrusion · VERIS: Malware

    Ransomware & malware intrusion

    Sequences Click to execution, Stealer to ransomware

    Sequences
    2
    Cohorts
    4
    Signals
    31
  4. HB-04DBIR: System Intrusion · VERIS: Hacking

    Vulnerability exploitation

    No sequence ends here; 3 cohorts predict it.

    Sequences
    0
    Cohorts
    3
    Signals
    7
  5. HB-05FBI IC3: BEC · VERIS: Social, pretexting

    BEC & payment fraud

    Sequences Approver under attack

    Sequences
    1
    Cohorts
    1
    Signals
    11
  6. HB-06DBIR: Miscellaneous Errors · VERIS: Error

    Data mishandling & error

    No sequence ends here; 1 cohort predicts it.

    Sequences
    0
    Cohorts
    1
    Signals
    29
  7. HB-07DBIR: Privilege Misuse · VERIS: Misuse

    Insider & privilege misuse

    Sequences Quiet exit, Dormant to dangerous

    Sequences
    2
    Cohorts
    6
    Signals
    20
  8. HB-08DBIR third-party involvement · ATT&CK Trusted Relationship

    Third-party, OAuth & supply chain

    Sequences Consent to compromise

    Sequences
    1
    Cohorts
    3
    Signals
    18
  9. HB-09DBIR 2026 AI findings · NIST AI RMF

    Shadow AI & agent misuse

    Sequences Shadow AI drift

    Sequences
    1
    Cohorts
    3
    Signals
    18
  10. HB-10DBIR: Lost and Stolen Assets · VERIS: Physical

    Lost & stolen devices

    No sequence or cohort ends here; 15 signals feed it.

    Sequences
    0
    Cohorts
    0
    Signals
    15

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